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Location · 8192 mentions · first reported 2026-06-11

Strait of Hormuz

STANDING ASSESSMENT

Strait of Hormuz: a major Gulf energy route under severe security pressure

The Strait of Hormuz is the sea passage linking the Persian Gulf with the Gulf of Oman. Before the US-Iran war, it carried about one-fifth of global energy supplies. September exports through it were estimated at around 6.5 million barrels a day, though traffic has fallen sharply from roughly 125 commodity vessels a day before the war.

Reporting on 21 and 22 September describes mostly suspended commercial traffic, attacks and harassment involving tankers, and a JMIC threat level of severe. At least five tanker incidents were reported since 16 September. Projectiles injured crew, but UKMTO has not attributed the attacks. Tankers are also using a narrow Omani coastal corridor under US naval protection, sometimes with AIS off. Qatar, Türkiye and France are pressing diplomacy, while Iran says it could reopen the waterway within seven days if US military pressure and the blockade of Iranian ports ease.

KEY POINTS
  • The waterway links the Persian Gulf with the Gulf of Oman and carried one-fifth of global energy supplies before the war.
  • Only 17 commodity vessels crossed over one recent weekend, against roughly 125 a day before the war.
  • JMIC rates the threat as severe; UKMTO has not attributed recent projectile attacks on tankers.
  • Tankers are using a narrow corridor along Oman under US naval protection, sometimes with AIS switched off.
  • France and the US are discussing a UN mission, while Iran ties reopening to reduced US pressure and the end of its port blockade.

Synthesised from 40 sourced claims across our published briefings.

FULL EVIDENCE DOSSIER

The complete claim-by-claim ledger for Strait of Hormuz — every sourced report with its Admiralty grade, confidence, and the briefs that cited it — is on the Analyst plan.

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UNCLASSIFIED // OSINT-DERIVED // FOUO