| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | Polymarket | NO | 25% | 9% | 0.06 / 0.01 | Polymarket |
| Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Polymarket | NO | 1% | 1% | 0.00 / 0.00 | Tie |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | Polymarket | NO | 35% | 4% | 0.12 / 0.00 | Polymarket |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | Polymarket | NO | 22% | 32% | 0.05 / 0.10 | CrisisBrief |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Polymarket | NO | 2% | 1% | 0.00 / 0.00 | Polymarket |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | Polymarket | NO | 22% | 7% | 0.05 / 0.00 | Polymarket |
| Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026? | Polymarket | NO | 12% | 1% | 0.01 / 0.00 | Polymarket |
| Netanyahu out by July 31? | Polymarket | NO | 60% | 1% | 0.36 / 0.00 | Polymarket |
| Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? | Polymarket | YES | 80% | 96% | 0.04 / 0.00 | Polymarket |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Polymarket | NO | 15% | 14% | 0.02 / 0.02 | Polymarket |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | Polymarket | NO | 30% | 30% | 0.09 / 0.09 | Tie |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | Polymarket | YES | 18% | 92% | 0.67 / 0.01 | Polymarket |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Polymarket | NO | 8% | 1% | 0.01 / 0.00 | Polymarket |
| Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Polymarket | NO | 25% | 20% | 0.06 / 0.04 | Polymarket |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | Polymarket | NO | 15% | 21% | 0.02 / 0.04 | CrisisBrief |
| Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June? | Polymarket | NO | 12% | 14% | 0.01 / 0.02 | CrisisBrief |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15? | Polymarket | NO | 22% | 4% | 0.05 / 0.00 | Polymarket |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | Polymarket | NO | 25% | 29% | 0.06 / 0.08 | CrisisBrief |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | Polymarket | NO | 8% | 1% | 0.01 / 0.00 | Polymarket |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026? | Polymarket | NO | 10% | 1% | 0.01 / 0.00 | Polymarket |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | Polymarket | NO | 35% | 27% | 0.12 / 0.07 | Polymarket |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | Polymarket | NO | 35% | 36% | 0.12 / 0.13 | CrisisBrief |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Polymarket | NO | 20% | 1% | 0.04 / 0.00 | Polymarket |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Polymarket | NO | 5% | 2% | 0.00 / 0.00 | Polymarket |
| Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Polymarket | NO | 2% | 1% | 0.00 / 0.00 | Polymarket |
| Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June? | Polymarket | NO | 8% | 48% | 0.01 / 0.23 | CrisisBrief |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Polymarket | NO | 15% | 1% | 0.02 / 0.00 | Polymarket |
| Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Polymarket | NO | 3% | 2% | 0.00 / 0.00 | Polymarket |
| Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Oct 1, 2026? | Kalshi | NO | 92% | 9% | 0.85 / 0.01 | Kalshi |
| Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Minnesota? | Kalshi | YES | 25% | 83% | 0.56 / 0.03 | Kalshi |
| Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Minnesota? | Kalshi | NO | 10% | 19% | 0.01 / 0.04 | CrisisBrief |
| Will Anthropic release Mythos before Oct 1, 2026? | Kalshi | NO | 65% | 8% | 0.42 / 0.01 | Kalshi |
| Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-09-01T14:00:00.000Z? | Kalshi | NO | 15% | 12% | 0.02 / 0.01 | Kalshi |
| Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Oct 1, 2026? | Kalshi | NO | 7% | 8% | 0.00 / 0.01 | CrisisBrief |
| Will Samuel Alito announce their departure as Supreme Court justice before Oct 1, 2026? | Kalshi | NO | 25% | 8% | 0.06 / 0.01 | Kalshi |
| When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? | Kalshi | NO | 35% | 40% | 0.12 / 0.16 | CrisisBrief |
| When will OpenAI IPO? | Kalshi | NO | 55% | 6% | 0.30 / 0.00 | Kalshi |
| Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year? | Kalshi | NO | 30% | 16% | 0.09 / 0.03 | Kalshi |
| Will legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections become law before Sep 1, 2026? | Kalshi | NO | 25% | 1% | 0.06 / 0.00 | Kalshi |
| Will the Department of Justice (DOJ) release Data Set 13 (pursuant to the Epstein Files Transparency Act) before Sep 1, 2026? | Kalshi | NO | 35% | 10% | 0.12 / 0.01 | Kalshi |
| Will Venezuela hold a presidential election before Sep 1, 2026? | Kalshi | NO | 85% | 2% | 0.72 / 0.00 | Kalshi |
| Will Howard Lutnick leaves Commerce Secretary in before September? | Kalshi | NO | 2% | 6% | 0.00 / 0.00 | CrisisBrief |
| Will Anthropic release Mythos before Sep 1, 2026? | Kalshi | NO | 75% | 5% | 0.56 / 0.00 | Kalshi |
| When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? | Kalshi | NO | 45% | 7% | 0.20 / 0.00 | Kalshi |
| When will OpenAI IPO? | Kalshi | NO | 35% | 2% | 0.12 / 0.00 | Kalshi |
| Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year? | Kalshi | NO | 25% | 12% | 0.06 / 0.01 | Kalshi |
| Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Sep 1, 2026? | Kalshi | NO | 7% | 3% | 0.00 / 0.00 | Kalshi |
| Will Donald Trump meet in person the Supreme Leader of Iran before Sep 1, 2026? | Kalshi | NO | 7% | 3% | 0.00 / 0.00 | Kalshi |
| Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z? | Kalshi | NO | 7% | 17% | 0.00 / 0.03 | CrisisBrief |
| Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Aug 1, 2026? | Kalshi | NO | 6% | 1% | 0.00 / 0.00 | Kalshi |
| Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba before Aug 1, 2026? | Kalshi | NO | 7% | 3% | 0.00 / 0.00 | Kalshi |
| Will Kash Patel announce their departure as FBI Director before Aug 1, 2026? | Kalshi | NO | 4% | 7% | 0.00 / 0.00 | CrisisBrief |
| Will Anthropic release Mythos before Aug 1, 2026? | Kalshi | NO | 60% | 2% | 0.36 / 0.00 | Kalshi |
| When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? | Kalshi | NO | 15% | 1% | 0.02 / 0.00 | Kalshi |
| When will OpenAI IPO? | Kalshi | NO | 35% | 1% | 0.12 / 0.00 | Kalshi |
| Will Samuel Alito announce their departure as Supreme Court justice before Aug 1, 2026? | Kalshi | NO | 15% | 14% | 0.02 / 0.02 | Kalshi |
| Will Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Aug 1, 2026? | Kalshi | NO | 15% | 5% | 0.02 / 0.00 | Kalshi |
| Will legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections become law before Aug 1, 2026? | Kalshi | NO | 10% | 2% | 0.01 / 0.00 | Kalshi |
| Will Donald Trump leave office before August 1, 2026? | Kalshi | NO | 6% | 1% | 0.00 / 0.00 | Kalshi |
| Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal before August? | Kalshi | NO | 20% | 3% | 0.04 / 0.00 | Kalshi |
| Will Donald Trump meet in person the Supreme Leader of Iran before Aug 1, 2026? | Kalshi | NO | 2% | 1% | 0.00 / 0.00 | Kalshi |
| Will Andy Burnham formally hold the role of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before July 18, 2026? | Kalshi | NO | 2% | 1% | 0.00 / 0.00 | Kalshi |