UNCLASSIFIED // OSINT-DERIVED // FOUO
CRISISBRIEF
OSINT BRIEFING TERMINAL
Forecast receipt · sealed · Bitcoin-anchored · scored in public

What we called → what happened

THE CALL

Will President Rodrigo Paz declare a 90-day state of emergency for Bolivia by 2026-07-11?

WE LEANED
95%
OUTCOME
OCCURRED
DIRECTION
HIT
BRIER
0.003
HOW IT RESOLVED

The Los Angeles Times search result explicitly states that President Rodrigo Paz declared a 90-day state of emergency on June 20, 2026, which is before the deadline of 2026-07-11. The snippet confirms: 'Bolivian President Rodrigo Paz has declared a 90-day state of emergency, empowering the military to clear road blockades that have cut off ...'.

Adversarial verification: confirmed (independent verdict: true).

SHARE THIS RECEIPT
CRYPTOGRAPHIC PROOF
SEALED AT
2026-06-27 06:13Z
LEDGER SEQ
#1002
SEAL HASH
ed4ed417d9a15ea8…
BITCOIN ANCHOR
2026-06-28 05:34Z

This forecast’s hash was committed on 2026-06-27 06:13Z and the chain covering it was anchored to the Bitcoin blockchain on 2026-06-28 05:34Z — before the outcome was settled on 2026-08-13 04:37Z. It could not have been backdated or rewritten.

VERIFY IT YOURSELF
  1. Pull this forecast’s ledger entries from /api/track-record/ledger.
  2. Recompute each entry_hash and confirm every prev_hash links — or run scripts/verify-ledger.mjs without trusting our server.
  3. Check the head against Bitcoin with the OpenTimestamps client. Full method on the ledger page.

Back to /track-record.

UNCLASSIFIED // OSINT-DERIVED // FOUO