What we called → what happened
THE CALL
Will Polish forces intercept a Russian military aircraft over the Baltic Sea by 2026-10-05?
Stars and Stripes (Sep 24, 2026) reports that the day before the helicopter incident (Sep 23), Polish fighters intercepted a Russian Il-20 reconnaissance aircraft flying about 30 miles off the Polish coast over the Baltic Sea, within the event window. Corroborated by militarnyi.com noting multiple 2026 Baltic intercepts.
Adversarial verification: confirmed (independent verdict: true).
This forecast’s hash was committed on 2026-09-05 21:39Z and the chain covering it was anchored to the Bitcoin blockchain on 2026-09-06 07:29Z — before the outcome was settled on 2026-10-12 04:30Z. It could not have been backdated or rewritten.
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