What we called → what happened

THE CALL

Will Brent crude futures reach US$110 per barrel by 2026-12-18?

Resolved from the data series: Brent spot (EIA, FRED DCOILBRENTEU) closed at 135.51 on 2026-10-02, at least 10% above the question's 110 threshold, within the window 2026-09-19 to 2026-12-18. The series is a daily spot close, a proxy for the futures or intraday prices a question may name; the 10% band is there to cover that gap (rule series_band_v1). The rule and threshold were sealed in ledger entry 9580.

[1]

Adversarial verification: confirmed (independent verdict: true).

This forecast’s hash was committed on 2026-09-19 22:37Z and the chain covering it was anchored to the Bitcoin blockchain on 2026-09-20 05:24Z — before the outcome was settled on 2026-10-08 12:10Z. It could not have been backdated or rewritten.

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